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45 Does an active June and July mean the rest of the season will be busy too?




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This article is from the Storms FAQ, by Chris Landsea landsea@aoml.noaa.gov with numerous contributions by others.

45 Does an active June and July mean the rest of the season will be busy too?

No. The number of named storms (hurricanes) occurring in June and July
correlates at an insignificant r = +0.13 (+0.02) versus the whole season
activity. Actually, there is a slight _negative_ association of early season
storms (hurricanes) versus late season - August through November - r = -0.28
(-0.35). Thus, early season activity, be it very active or quite calm, has
little bearing on the season as a whole. These correlations are based on
the years 1944-1994.

 

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